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MSR Season 12 Superbowl: Ravens vs. Vikings

by Hofmeister929 | 3 months ago | 0 Comments |

The MSR Season 12 Superbowl features the Baltimore Ravens taking on the Minnesota Vikings. The Ravens finished the regular season on a 7 game winning streak finishing 11-5 on the year securing a wild card spot. The Ravens have continued their streak through the playoffs defeating the New England Patriots (17-14), Cincinnati Bengals (27-10), and Indianapolis Colts (20-19). Similar to Ravens, the Vikings finished the regular season on an 8 game winning streak and finished 13-3 on the year securing a 1st round bye and the number one seed in the NFC. In the playoffs, the Vikings took on two division rivals, the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers. After Minnesota defeated Detroit 31-10, they went on to defeat the Packers 34-26 for their ticket to MSR's 12th Superbowl.

Let's see how these two teams matchup against each other for all of the marbles by first looking at their regular season statistics.

When comparing these two teams, they both boast a +11 average score differential. While the Ravens score 1 more point (24) per game when compared to the Vikings (23), they allow 1 more point per game (13) than the Vikings (12). Offensively, the Ravens average 45 more yards on offense. A large part of this is due to their running game, where the Ravens average 105 yards per game! On defense, the Vikings allow just 1 more yard per game (264 totals yard vs. 263 total yards) than the Ravens. However, the biggest discrepancy between these two team are their turnover differentials. The Ravens are only +2 on the year, while the Vikings are +31.

Next we will take a look at how these Superbowl contenders compare to the rest of MSR in major categories.

Offensively, both teams are top 10 in points scored per game. As mentioned in last week's NFC Championship preview, the Vikings are in the bottom half of the league for all of the offensive yardage categories which is likely attributed to the number of turnovers they have forced this year and resulting better field position. For the Ravens, while the passing attack is lack luster, their rushing attack is ranked 2nd in the league.

Defensively, both these team rank in the top 7 for every category besides rushing yards allowed per game for the Ravens. This game could easily turn into a defensive battle. The one spot of weakness for either of these two teams is the Ravens rush defense. They are ranked 18th which could easily be exploited by Vikings HB Dalvin Cook if he can get going early.

Let's start looking at these two teams offenses by taking a deeper dive into the Ravens season.

Baltimore Ravens Offensive Outlook

The Ravens offense is by dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson. On the year, Jackson has thrown the ball almost 450 times for 3440 yards, 24 TDs, and 13 interceptions. He also adds 4 TDs on the ground. Jackson primarily distributes the ball to his wide receivers, with WR Allen Robinson II being is favorite target. His top targets on the field are as follows:

  1. WR Allen Robinson II - 74 rec - 1032 yards - 6 TDs
  2. WR Marquise Goodwin - 45 rec - 644 yards - 4 TDs
  3. WR Breshad Perriman - 56 rec - 557 yards - 2 TDs
  4. TE Hayden Hurst - 50 rec - 501 yards - 6 TDs
  5. HB Tarik Cohen - 28 rec - 288 yards - 2 TDs

The backfield is led by Derrius Guice, who is the Ravens impact player on the year. Backing up Guice is Tarik Cohen who had a solid year gaining almost 800 yards and 10 total TDs.

Baltimore Ravens Impact Player: HB Derrius Guice

The Ravens impact player on offense is HB Derrius Guice. On the year, Guice totaled 1159 totals yards and 11 TDs. On the ground, he carried the ball 161 times for 963 yards (6.0 average yards per carry.

A majority of Guice's work comes when the Ravens win. In games that he played in, Guide averaged about 9 more touches in wins versus loses. His contribution in win/loses can be seen even more clearly in stats. In wins, Guice averaged 67 more rushing yards, 11.5 more receiving yards, and 1.0 more touchdowns. For the Ravens to be successful on offense, they need Guice to have a good game.

Minnesota Vikings Offensive Outlook

The Vikings offense is slightly pass heavy (56% of drop backs) but the yardage is more spread out compared to the Packers. The offense is led by QB Dak Prescott (Vikings offensive impact player), who has 330 attempts on the year for 3135 yards, 19 TDs, and 9 interceptions. Unlike Rodgers, Prescott does a great job evenly distributing the ball to different targets and receiving groups. His top 5 targets are as follows:

  1. WR Stefon Diggs 35 rec - 593 yards - 4 TDs
  2. WR DeAndre Hopkins - 44 rec - 588 yards - 5 TDs
  3. TE TJ Hockenson - 36 rec - 466 yards - 2 TDs
  4. WR Tre'quan Smith - 33 rec - 504 yards - 4 TDs
  5. HB Dalvin Cook - 26 rec - 285 yards - 0 TDs

The Vikings ground attack is led by Dalvin Cook who has 132 carries on the year for 723 yards (5.5 average yards per carry) and 10 TDs. His back-ups include Bennett McKay (50 carries for 225 yards) and James White (32 carries for 163 yards).

Minnesota Vikings Impact Player: QB Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott has been the game manager that the Vikings need him to be. On the year, Prescott had 3135 yards, 19 TDs, and 9 Int. Prescott does have scrambling ability to his game, where he added 4 more TDs on the ground throughout the year. In games where the Vikings have won, we can see how well Dak manages the offense. Dak does this through keeping the ball in the offense's hands and limited negative plays. In wins, Dak averages 0.3 interceptions and 1.3 sacks. In loses, he averages 1.7 interceptions and 3.0 sacks. His average touchdowns in win/loses stay relatively the same (1.2 to 1.0) while he does have an increase in yardage when the team is down in the game (233.7 yards to 187.2 yards).

Baltimore Ravens Defensive Outlook

 

The Ravens defense is led by their stout secondary. CBs Antaries Bolston and Bryon Jones lead the team on the year with 4 interceptions and 3 interceptions, respectively. With the help of their supporting cast, the Ravens only allow 185.4 passing yards per game (ranked 3rd in MSR). The inside is led by MLB C.J. Mosley who does everything for the team in the middle of field. The last player to look out for on defense is real rookie Ed Oliver who had 5 sacks on the year.

Minnesota Vikings Defensive Outlook

The Vikings defense boasts much more flashier numbers. The defense is led by the elite pass rusher Danielle Hunter. On the year, Hunter had 16 sacks and a league leader 7 forced fumbles. The back-end of the defense is led by CB Trae Waynes who had 3 sacks and 3 fumbles on the year, and SS Matthias Farley who led the team with 6 interceptions. In the middle, LB Anthony Barr stacked the stat sheet this year. He had 4 sacks, 1 forced fumble, 3 interceptions and even 1 touchdown on the defense for the Vikings.

Keys to Winning MSR's Season 12 Superbowl

Both this teams boast exception defenses, so to win this game the teams will have to control the ball on the ground. Whoever has the better rushing attack this game, will win the Superbowl. While the Ravens were ranked 2nd in rushing this year, the Vikings rush defense was ranked 7th in MSR. For the Vikings, they were only ranked 19th in rushing yards this year but Baltimore is vunerable through the ground as seen by their 18th ranked defense. In the end, I would give the edge to Baltimore rushing attack due to the consistantly they have had through the year.

What are your Superbowl score predictions? Who's winning, the Ravens or Vikings?